Dispatches from Ukraine. Day 1,052

Regional.

Zaporizhzhia region. On January 8, the Russian forces introduced one of the greatest devastating attacks in the war in this region, abandoning two sliding bombs that killed at least other thirteen people and wounded another 122. The city declared a day of mourning on January, the third of this type in just 40 days. In each of the last two attacks, the Russian forces killed more than 10 people.

Russian forces introduced drone movements into the village of Berislav, killing one civilian and injuring 3 others. in those incidents.

Donetsk region. Russian shelling in the front-line city of Siversk on January 9 resulted in the deaths of three civilians.

World.

After promising himself during his crusade to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours, U. S. President-elect Donald Trump has now extended the timeline to several months. Trump is now suggesting a six-month window for a resolution of the conflicts, while special envoy Keith Kellogg is contemplating a 100-day plan. . Despite the replacement in the schedule, Trump reaffirmed his commitment to addressing Ukraine’s security considerations while engaging with Russia.

The United States announced a $ 500 million army aid package to Ukraine on January 9, which provides general security assistance from Russia’s invasion in 2022 to $ 65 billion. The package includes Air Defense missiles, ammunition and combat equipment F-16. The Ultimate Army Help Package of President Joe Biden’s management, since Russian forces obtain their faster profits in only 3 years of war. UU. He is listening to weekly shipments of weapons to use the remaining $ 7. 1 billion in help assigned at the end of Biden’s mandate.

A recent report through the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) estimates that a Russian victory in Ukraine can charge the United States $ 808 billion in defense expenses, motivated through greater army wishes to counteract Russian threats to Europe. This sum far exceeds general aid in the United States in Ukraine. Although the president chose Trump criticized American spending in Ukraine, the AEI emphasizes that of Ukraine is a more successful strategy.

Russia’s offshore crude oil exports fell to their lowest point in more than 16 months, emerging to a day-consistent 540,000 barrels from their peak in October. Developed exports of Russia’s major western ports, namely UST Luga, fell 25%, reflecting a mix of cancelled orders and a building in domestic refining that has limited exports. The scenario is exacerbated through the tightening of foreign sanctions opposed to Russia’s “shadow fleet” of tankers and China’s resolve to close primary eastern ports to blacklisted ships through the United States, in addition, in addition. Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries have reduced production. The most recent strike on Jan. 8 sparked out-of-control fires at a strategic facility near Russia’s border with Kazakhstan.

Although the record shipments of the port of Kozimo in the east of Siberia compensate some losses in December, the general export volumes remain reduced. It probably faces monetary tension amid efforts to reduce investment for war in Ukraine.

The economic boom aimed at the Russian war, fed through public spending and the best salaries, shows symptoms of tension, while inflation and record interest rates are wreaking havoc. Despite a physically powerful temperament in primary cities and the resistant sensation of consumers, the country’s central bank supplies a net economic deceleration, with a potentially sunk expansion to 0. 5% in 2025, which goes from 3. 5% to 4 % in the key industries of 2024 stretch marks, agriculture, agriculture agriculture. To manufacture, investments and construction in loan prices, bankruptcy should fear in sectors such as car and agriculture.

Compounding the challenges are economic sanctions, a weakened ruble, uncertainty surrounding oil prices and China’s economic outlook. The government projects easing inflation and lower interest rates within the year, but risks loom large, including the impact of declining crude oil prices and payment disruptions in international trade. Analysts suggest that a prolonged war could exacerbate these issues, while a quick resolution might stabilize the ruble and revive foreign investment.

National.

Ukraine’s international currency reserves surged to $43.8 billion in December 2024, driven by more than $9 billion in financial aid from partners, including $4.4 billion from the EU and $3.9 billion via the World Bank. Despite significant currency interventions totaling $5.3 billion, record inflows helped bolster the nation’s reserves. The funds supported external debt payments and stabilized Ukraine’s currency amid sustained economic pressures. In 2024 as in 2023, Ukraine secured $42 billion in international aid and aims for $38 billion in 2025 to maintain financial resilience and reinforce its currency reserves.

Ukraine has developed a laser defense formula that can tear down planes to more than one mile on the ground. Only a few other countries, adding the United States, China and Israel, have such formula. Ukraine has not announced when the formula, which deserves to be effective to drones, will work.

A recent poll through the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology shows a significant drop in the public that accepts President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as true, with approval from 77% in December 2023 to 52% until the end of 2024. Disaccept as true also has higher to also has higher to. 39%. While Zelenskyy still holds more accepted as true than lack of access as true, doubt is generally rising, especially among those who have pessimistic or doubtful perspectives about Ukraine’s future.

By Danylo Nosov, Alan Sacks.

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