With only two weeks to navigate (until February 23, German elections), a series of new national surveys highlight the example of the CDU (31%), the AFD retention moment position (21%, but with a fence 0 to be in the government) and the FDP and Sahra Wagenknecht parties make plans not to succeed in the 5% voting threshold that would allow them in Parliament. A vital swing will be the percentage of the SDP vote, which fell to 15%.

This weekend, the opposition leader Friedrich Merz and Foreign Minister Scholz organized his first televised debate in the head (the next is February 19) where the chancellor gave a disappointing defensive functionality in Ukraine and the economy, compared to comparison with The game, Merz. The debate has been polished according to the standards, and this maintains the perspective of a coalition between the CDU (CSU) and the SDP.

When digging at the main points of recent surveys, there is a consensus among the electorate according to which the favorite coalition is CDU -FDP: most of the CDU and SDP electorate sees this as the way to follow. Merz turns out to be without a blow, and reinforced his resolution to attach to a new proposal a means to pass the debt braking, as well as the need for the EU to spend more in defense.

In the debate with Scholz, Merz indicated that the CDU would be a rest of the German debt brake. Maintaining debt braking remained the official CDU policy, however, this budget restriction has reduced to the last government, and would be an inevitable component of any negotiation of the coalition. Construction in defense spending is a component of the CDU platform. On Monday, the president of the Bundestag Defense Committee (of the FDP party) requested an army spending purpose of 3% of GDP.

In fact, the discoveries of a peace agreement on the clash in Ukraine can help the German economy, however, the option that Germany can have a giant component of a peace maintenance force in Ukraine and logically spend more for The defense will be very vital in the electoral debate.

My feeling is that Merz will be the next chancellor, and we believe that the perspective of an animal spirit in the economy in its choices is underestimated. Its scope of reforming the economy and the army is not yet known. His challenge in receiving his proposed immigration plan suggests that he is in a position to assume taboo subjects and that he has the appetite for the reform.

Assuming that it becomes a chancellor, the accessory will turn very soon towards the speed and composition of the closet (Scholz can lose its position before the Minister of Defense Pistorius if the SDP obtains less than 15%) and there are thrust reports for the ministries and Debates on the alignment of policies, especially between the CSU (conservatives in southern Germany) and the CDU.

The occasions of last week: the costs of European goods, the perspective of European troops in an agreement after the PAIX in Ukraine and the desire to redo critical industries such as cars imply significant demanding situations to come.

A community. Many voices.   Create a lazy account to pry your thoughts.  

Our network is attached to other people through open and considered conversations. We need our readers to prove their reviews and exchange concepts and made in a space.

To do this, follow the publication regulations the situations of use of our site.   We have summarized some of those key regulations below. In other words, keep it civil.

Your message will be rejected if we realize that it turns out to contain:

The user accounts will block if we realize or that users are compromised:

So how can you be a difficult user?

Thanks for reading our network directives. Read the complete list of publication regulations discovered the situations of use of our site.