The Denver Broncos have won two straight games on the strength of their defense. Now, they will try to keep rolling when Denver hosts the AFC West rival Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football. The Broncos have won two in a row and allow only 17.7 points per game. Von Miller and the defense dominated in a 16-0 victory against Tennessee last Sunday, posting seven sacks and three interceptions, forcing Tennessee to make a quarterback change that could become permanent. The Chiefs boast the league’s top passing offense behind MVP Patrick Mahomes, but have lost two in a row. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Mile High. Kansas City is a three-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 49.5. Before you make any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks, you should look at the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is nearly $ 7,000 for $ 100 players on its top-ranked NFL picks since its inception four years ago. He nailed his latest top-ranked NFL picks, entering Week 7 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 24-15 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 86-58 roll on top-ranked NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in week 6, he nailed the patriots ( -17) covering a big spread against the giants and the Seahawks (1) winning straight up as underdogs against the Browns.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third straight year on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who followed him way up.

He has now modeled the chiefs against the Broncos 10,000 times. We can tell you it’s tilting, but it also says one side of the spread makes all the difference. You can only see this selection on SportsLine.

The model knows the Mahomes are 3-0 against Denver, and the chiefs haven’t scored less than 27 points in those meetings. He had 303 yards and four touchdown passes against them in a 30-23 win in their last meeting, in week 8 of last season. Wide receiver Tyreek hill is coming off an eye-popping game in his return from a shoulder injury, with four catches for 80 yards and two touchdowns in Houston’s loss.

Mahomes has many other weapons, including All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce, who leads the team with 32 catches for 497 yards. Mecole Hardman filled in well while hill recovered from a broken collarbone and 16 catches for 291 yards, while Demarcus Robinson, with 17 catches for 281 yards, also flashed great game ability.

But just because Kansas city can put up with points doesn’t mean it will cover the chiefs against the Broncos spread on Thursday night football.

The Broncos lost their first four games, but two of them came on last-minute kicks. In winning their last 2, they allowed only touchdown punt returns and 2 field goals. Linebacker von Miller is still a pillar of the defense and has 2.5 sacks in the last three games, while safety Justin Simmons leads the team with 30 tackles and has two interceptions. Derek Wolfe and DeMarcus Walker each had two sacks against the titans, while Alexander Johnson was 1.5.

The Broncos rank 15 in the NFL in rushing, averaging 116 yards per game. Phillip Lindsay leads the team in that Department with 397 yards, while Royce Freeman has 248. Both also contribute to the passing game, combining almost equally for 40 catches and 292 yards. Courtland Sutton became a top target with 30 receptions for 477 yards and three TDs, with veteran Joe Flacco throwing for 1,435 yards in offense control.

So who will beat the Broncos against the chiefs? And which side of the spread makes all the difference? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Broncos vs. chiefs spread you should be all over on Thursday night, all from a model that returned more than $ 7,000 on his top-ranked NFL picks.